I am trying to simulate blue green algae blooms in a shallow lake.
Measurements have shown highest concentrations in september and june, when water temperatures are around 25°C.
My simulation showed algae peaks in winter (december to february). Consequently I played with algal temperature rates at put them to:
AT1: 20 AT2: 24.5 AT3: 27.5 AT4: 28
AK1: 0.001 AK2: 0.99 AK3: 0.99 AK4: 0.1
So, algal growth should be impossible below 20°C, right?
But nonetheless I am getting algae peaks from december to february, when water temperatures are below 15°C, which I do not understand.
Can anyone give me an explanation?
Algae growth in winter
Algae growth in winter
algae growth rate